Cartagena welcome Valencia in the Round of 32 of the Copa del Rey on December 4, 2025, at 21:00 local time. The hosts will look to exploit the visitors’ inconsistent form and chase what would be a memorable victory.
Our Prediction for Cartagena vs Valencia
Cartagena ended their five-year spell in the Segunda División last season, finishing in 22nd place. Their return to the third tier has not been smooth either, though they still remain within reach of the playoff positions. Recent performances have offered some encouragement, including a draw against Eldense and a victory over Betis B.
Valencia, meanwhile, have been experiencing a turbulent period. Carlos Corberán took over at Mestalla a year ago when the club was in a difficult position, but he guided them to 46 points and a stable 12th-place finish. This season began positively for Valencia, though a rough autumn stretch exposed lingering inconsistencies. Following the international break, they earned an important win over Levante but were held to a draw by Rayo Vallecano in their most recent league outing.
Cartagena advanced in the cup at the end of October by defeating Puente Genil thanks to a second-half goal from Rey. Valencia, on the other hand, delivered a dominant 5-0 win over Maracena, comfortably booking their place in this stage of the competition.
Key Stats and Trends
Cartagena are unbeaten in their last two matches.
Cartagena average 0.93 goals scored and 0.79 conceded per match.
Only 21% of Cartagena’s matches end with both teams scoring, with an average of 1.71 total goals.
Valencia have lost only one of their last five matches.
Valencia average 0.93 goals scored and 1.57 conceded per match.
43% of Valencia’s matches end with both teams scoring, averaging 2.5 total goals.
Probable Starting Lineups
Cartagena (probable lineup): Luis Garcia – Berral, Bergara, Velez, Sera – Calderon, Nacho, Baldovi, Rey – Ortuño, Chuka
Valencia (probable lineup): Dimitrievski – Djemert, Panach Olmo, Iranso – Jesus Vazquez, Guerra, Santamaria, Otorbi – Andre Almeida, Duro, Raba
Previous Matches: Cartagena vs Valencia
The sides met in the Copa del Rey in both 2022 and 2024. Valencia won 2-1 on both occasions, once in regular time and once after extra time.
Free Prediction for Cartagena vs Valencia
Valencia traditionally do not treat this competition as a primary objective, and rotation is expected. Given their likely approach and Cartagena’s conservative style, a low-scoring match seems the most reasonable expectation. The recommended pick is Under 3.5 total goals.
Betting Odds Analysis
Outcome | Odds | Analysis |
|---|---|---|
Under 3.5 Goals | 1.60 | Valencia likely to rotate heavily; Cartagena score rarely |
Valencia Win | 1.75 | Higher quality, but motivation questionable |
Draw | 3.40 | Possible if Valencia field a weakened lineup |
Cartagena Win | 4.80 | Upset chance exists at home |
Both Teams to Score – No | 1.72 | Cartagena's low BTTS rate supports this pick |
