In the Italian Super Cup semi-final on December 18, 2025 (local time), Napoli will take on Milan as both sides push for a place in the final. With two evenly matched teams and contrasting managerial styles, this clash promises to be tight and tactical.
Our Prediction for Napoli vs Milan
Napoli brought Antonio Conte in last summer, and the experienced coach delivered immediate success by winning the Scudetto at his first attempt. Despite this achievement, there were moments of uncertainty. Conte reportedly considered stepping away from the project after the 2024/2025 season and again during a difficult spell in mid-autumn.
Recently, Napoli appeared to have rediscovered their rhythm, highlighted by an impressive victory over Juventus. However, their momentum was halted in the latest league round with a surprising slip-up against Udinese. On the European stage, their Champions League campaign also suffered earlier with a 0–2 defeat to Benfica.
Milan arrive at the Super Cup not as reigning champions, but as last season’s cup finalists. Even then, they failed to lift the trophy, reinforcing the disappointment of a campaign that saw the 2024 runners-up miss out on European qualification altogether.
Still, the return of Massimiliano Allegri has brought renewed stability and ambition. Milan are once again challenging for the Serie A title. Their most recent league outing ended in a controversial 2–2 draw against Sassuolo, while their cup journey already includes a defeat to Lazio.
Statistically, Napoli, led by Højlund and his new teammates, average 1.47 goals scored per match while conceding 0.87. Allegri’s Milan are slightly more productive in attack with 1.6 goals per game, and they share the same defensive average of 0.87 goals conceded.
Napoli vs Milan: Key Stats and Trends
Napoli have lost their last two matches.
47% of Napoli’s games see both teams scoring, with an average total of 2.33 goals per match.
Milan have won only one of their last three matches.
53% of Milan’s games feature goals from both sides, with an average total of 2.47 goals per match.
Napoli vs Milan: Possible Starting Lineups
Napoli (probable lineup):
Milinković-Savić – Buongiorno, Rrahmani, Beqema – Olivera, McTominay, Lobotka, Di Lorenzo – Lang, Højlund, Neres
Milan (probable lineup):
Maignan – Pavlović, Gabbia, Tomori – Bartesaghi, Rabiot, Modrić, Fofana, Saelemaekers – Rafael Leão, Nkunku
Previous Matches: Napoli vs Milan
The two sides have been evenly matched in recent meetings, exchanging victories across 2024 and 2025.
Free Prediction for Napoli vs Milan
This semi-final looks finely balanced, with both teams placing strong emphasis on defensive structure. Given the cautious approach expected in a knockout setting, the best betting option appears to be total goals under 2.5, offered at odds of 1.62.
