Venezuela Eyes Home Advantage to Resist Colombia Despite Odds

Soccer Genius
Match Previews
2 min read
The contrast in motivation is clear: Colombia has already qualified, while Venezuela still needs points to pursue a playoff spot. Given Venezuela’s strong home form and high motivation, they are favored to avoid defeat in this encounter.
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Venezuela, currently ranked 46th in the world, sits 7th in their South American qualifying group with 4 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses. At home, they remain unbeaten with 4 wins and 4 draws, boasting a strong goal difference of 9:2. After a heavy 0-3 defeat to Argentina, Venezuela is out of contention for direct World Cup qualification, but still has a chance to fight for a playoff spot. Notably, the team has kept six clean sheets at home this campaign.

Colombia, ranked 14th in the world, currently occupies 5th place in the group with 6 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses, including a 1-4-3 record on the road and a goal difference of 4:8. Colombia recently defeated Bolivia 3-0, securing direct qualification for the 2026 World Cup. However, their form has shown a significant drop in the past six months, including a run of six matches without a win, and their away performance remains inconsistent compared to home games.

Conclusion:

The contrast in motivation is clear: Colombia has already qualified, while Venezuela still needs points to pursue a playoff spot. Given Venezuela’s strong home form and high motivation, they are favored to avoid defeat in this encounter.

Recommended Bet: Venezuela – Win or Draw

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Recommended Bet: Venezuela
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