In the 17th round of the German Bundesliga 1 on January 14, 2026, RB Leipzig will host Freiburg at the Red Bull Arena. The home team is fighting for second place and is determined to secure a crucial win against a resilient opponent.
Our Prediction for RB Leipzig vs Freiburg
RB Leipzig had a disappointing previous season, finishing seventh in the Bundesliga with 51 points and missing out on European competition. Under new coach Werner, the team is aiming to reclaim top positions. Before the winter break, Leipzig suffered two consecutive defeats but went into the holidays level on points with Bayer Leverkusen, both competing for third place. Their weekend match against St. Pauli was postponed.
Freiburg narrowly missed out on fourth place last season, finishing just two points behind Borussia Dortmund, which meant another Europa League campaign where they have already collected fourteen points. In the Bundesliga, after fifteen matches, Freiburg has an even record of five wins, five draws, and five losses. They recently beat Hamburg 2-1, showing signs of stability.
Leipzig scores an average of 2.0 goals per game but concedes 1.27, while Freiburg maintains an even goal balance with 1.69 goals scored and 1.69 conceded per match.
Key Statistics and Trends
Team | Last 6-7 Matches | % Matches Both Teams Score | Avg Goals per Game |
|---|---|---|---|
RB Leipzig | 0 Wins, 2 Losses | 47% | 3.27 |
Freiburg | 5 Wins, 2 Losses | 69% | 3.38 |
Probable Starting Lineups
RB Leipzig (probable lineup): Gulacsi – Raum, Lukeba, Orban, Nedelkovic – Schlager, Seiwald, Baumgartner – Gomis, Romulo, Harder
Freiburg (probable lineup): Atubolu – Günter, Jung, Ginter, Kübler – Osterhage, M. Eggestein, Manzambi, Suzuki, Treu – Heler
Previous Encounters
RB Leipzig had a six-match winning streak against Freiburg, but the most recent encounter last March ended in a goalless draw.
Bookmakers’ Odds
Bookmaker | RB Leipzig Win | Draw | Freiburg Win | Total Over 2.5 Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.60 | 4.50 | 1.60 |
William Hill | 1.87 | 3.50 | 4.40 | 1.62 |
Betway | 1.83 | 3.70 | 4.60 | 1.59 |
Free Prediction for RB Leipzig vs Freiburg
RB Leipzig are favorites to win at home, but considering Freiburg’s attacking potential and both teams’ recent scoring trends, betting on "total over 2.5 goals" seems safer.
