Fenerbahce vs Galatasaray: Turkish Super Lig Round 14 Preview
Match Date: December 1, 2025 — Local Time (Türkiye): 20:00
Fenerbahce and Galatasaray meet again in the Eternal Derby, a clash between Türkiye’s two most iconic clubs. The league leader seeks to increase its advantage, while the defending champion aims to keep the title race alive.
Fenerbahce Analysis
Fenerbahce have not lifted the league trophy for more than ten years. Hoping to end the drought, the club brought José Mourinho to Istanbul, only to sack him in August after another failed Champions League qualification attempt.
Domenico Tedesco also struggled at first, but by November the team had regained momentum. In the Europa League they earned a 1-1 draw against Ferencváros on Thursday, and before that they smashed Rizespor 5-2 in the league.
The attack guided by Talisca has been extremely productive, averaging 2.31 goals scored, while the defense concedes 0.92 goals per match.
Fenerbahce (probable lineup):
Ederson
Mercan, Österwolde, Škriniar, Semedo
Aktürkoğlu, Álvarez, Fred, Asensio, Dorgeles
Talisca
Galatasaray Analysis
The reigning Turkish champions comfortably retained the title last season and added the domestic cup as well. This year they also reached the Champions League group stage, producing mixed results—from a heavy defeat in Frankfurt to a sensational win over Liverpool.
Their form dipped significantly in autumn. They lost 0-1 at home to Union and even suffered defeat to newcomers Kocaelispor. Against Gençlerbirliği they conceded twice but still managed to win, highlighting their inconsistency.
Galatasaray currently average 2.15 goals scored and only 0.62 conceded per match — still elite defensive numbers.
Galatasaray (probable lineup):
Çakır
Jakobs, Bardakcı, Sánchez, Singo
Torreira, Lemina, Yılmaz, Icardi, Sané
Osimhen
Key Stats and Trends
Fenerbahce have won eight of their last eleven matches
62% of Fenerbahce’s matches feature both teams scoring, with an average of 3.23 total goals
Galatasaray have won only one of their last three matches
46% of Galatasaray matches feature both teams scoring, with an average of 2.77 total goals
In the last eight Istanbul derbies, Galatasaray have won five, losing only once
Recent Meetings
Galatasaray have had the upper hand in recent derbies, winning five of the previous eight encounters.
Odds Analysis Table
Betting Market | Data / Rationale | Recommended Option | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
1X2 Result | Fenerbahce strong at home, but Galatasaray competitive | Galatasaray or Draw (X2) | 1.65 |
Goals Over/Under | Both teams’ scoring stats trend toward moderate totals | Under 3.0 Goals (safer) | 1.72 |
Both Teams to Score | Fenerbahce 62% BTTS, Gala 46% | Yes (BTTS) | 1.83 |
Asian Handicap | Derby typically close; visitors rarely lose big | Galatasaray +0.5 | 1.65 |
Match Prediction
Fenerbahce enter as favorites, especially given their recent scoring form and home advantage. However, Galatasaray remain too strong, too experienced, and too disciplined to be ruled out.
Considering the competitive balance and recent trends, our prediction is:
Galatasaray to avoid defeat (X2).
