Recent Form Overview
The Pacers suffered a 99–105 road loss against the Bucks, extending their losing streak to three games. Despite showing resilience in the fourth quarter, where they outscored Milwaukee 34–22 and went on an explosive 15–0 run in the final four minutes, the comeback ultimately fell short. The damage had already been done earlier in the game, as Indiana once trailed by as many as 16 points. Their slow starts and defensive lapses across the first three quarters continue to be a recurring issue.
The highly anticipated debut of newly acquired center Ivica Zubac has been delayed due to an ankle injury, further weakening Indiana’s interior presence. Without a reliable rim protector or consistent interior scoring, the Pacers remain vulnerable on both ends of the floor.
Raptors’ Momentum
Toronto are trending strongly upward after a dominant 123–107 home victory over an injury-depleted Bulls squad. With that win, the Raptors reached 31 victories on the season, already surpassing last year’s total before the All-Star break. Brandon Ingram delivered a highly efficient performance, scoring 33 points on 12-of-20 shooting. Notably, he adjusted his shot profile by reducing mid-range attempts and increasing three-point volume, converting 5 of 9 from beyond the arc.
Head coach Darko Rajaković continues to experiment tactically. Scottie Barnes has taken on more playmaking responsibility, operating as a primary facilitator, while Immanuel Quickley has stretched the floor effectively with high-volume perimeter shooting. This balanced offensive structure has significantly improved Toronto’s spacing and tempo.
Matchup Breakdown
Toronto will again be without starting center Jakob Poeltl, who remains sidelined with injury. The front office had aggressively pursued Walker Kessler and Domantas Sabonis before the trade deadline but ultimately came up empty-handed. Even so, Toronto’s current rotation remains deeper and more cohesive than Indiana’s.
The Pacers sit at the bottom of the Eastern Conference standings and are playing with minimal pressure, but their lack of structure and defensive discipline makes it difficult to trust them on the road. Toronto, by contrast, have clear motivation, stronger lineup continuity, and a decisive home-court advantage.
Game Expectation
Indiana’s recent late-game effort shows they are not quitting, but their slow starts and limited interior options continue to put them at a disadvantage. Toronto’s offensive efficiency, ball movement, and perimeter shooting should allow them to control the game flow. As long as the Raptors avoid complacency, they are well-positioned to build and maintain a lead.
Mainstream Sportsbook Odds (Moneyline Market)
Bookmaker Raptors Win Pacers Win
Bet365 1.40 3.00
William Hill 1.38 3.10
Pinnacle 1.42 2.95
The odds reflect a clear lean toward Toronto, driven by home advantage, superior form, and roster stability.
Final Prediction
Indiana’s energy and freedom may keep the game competitive early, but over four quarters, Toronto’s depth, shot-making, and tactical flexibility should prevail. With momentum on their side and clear advantages across multiple areas, the Raptors are well-positioned to secure another home win.
Recommended Pick: Raptors to Win
