In the European World Cup qualifying on November 13, 2025, the national teams of Azerbaijan and Iceland will face each other. To maintain a strong chance of finishing second in their group, the visitors need a win.
Team Form and Analysis
Azerbaijan:
Azerbaijan have already dismissed Fernando Santos during this qualifying campaign due to ongoing failures. This temporarily boosted the team, allowing them to take points from Ukraine. However, subsequent defeats followed, reinforcing their status as group outsiders.
Iceland:
Iceland have not qualified for a major tournament for a long time. Last year, Ukraine denied them a spot at the Euros in a decisive playoff. In this campaign, Iceland also lost to Ukraine at home. However, they started qualifying strongly, thrashing Azerbaijan and even causing problems for France: while they lost away to the favorites, they held them to a 2-2 draw at home. A win over Azerbaijan would allow Iceland to approach their decisive match knowing that a draw would suffice for second place.
Statistics Comparison:
Azerbaijan average 0.3 goals scored per game, conceding 2.4.
Iceland average 1.9 goals scored per game, conceding 2.0.
Key Statistics and Trends
Azerbaijan have lost six matches and drawn two this year.
30% of Azerbaijan’s matches see both teams scoring, with an average total of 2.7 goals per match.
Iceland have won two of eight matches in 2025, suffering five defeats.
70% of Iceland’s matches see both teams scoring, with an average total of 3.9 goals per match.
Probable Starting Lineups
Azerbaijan:
Magomedaliyev – Jafarguliyev, Krivotsyuk, Mustafazade, Badalov, Guseynov – Nuriyev, Khaibulayev, Mahmudov, Bayramov – Akhundzade
Iceland:
Olafsson – Thomasson, Gretarsson, Ingason, Paulsson, Ellertsson – Gudmundsson, Johannesson, Haraldsson – Gudjohnsen, Vilhjalmsson
Head-to-Head Record
Before Iceland’s 5-0 victory in September, the teams had only met in a friendly, which ended in a draw.
Free Prediction
A repeat of the thrashing may not occur, but even in Baku, Gudjohnsen and his teammates should win convincingly.
Prediction: Iceland to win with a -1 goal handicap (odds 1.93)
