Sweden vs Slovenia: Who Takes Third Place in the Group?
🔊 As the European World Cup qualifiers head into their final stretch, Sweden and Slovenia meet on November 18, 2025—yet the only thing left to fight for is third place. Still, both sides have pride on the line, and both need a positive finish after a disappointing campaign.
Our prediction for Sweden vs Slovenia
Sweden seemed to be regaining momentum. They were solid in last year’s Nations League, and the start of qualifying wasn’t disastrous—a 2-2 away draw against Slovenia looked encouraging. But after that, everything collapsed.
Jon Dahl Tomasson didn’t finish the job, and the qualifying dream fell apart quickly. Sweden went on to lose to Switzerland, and then suffered two defeats to Kosovo, sinking them to the bottom of the group.
Slovenia arrived with confidence after returning to a major tournament at the last Euros, where they even reached the playoffs. In the Nations League, they scored the decisive extra-time goal against Slovakia. But the qualifying campaign has been a big step backward. They followed a 0-3 loss in Switzerland with a 0-0 draw at home, then drew again with Sweden (2-2) and Kosovo (0-0).
For Sweden, Graham Potter’s arrival signals preparation for the future. His debut was a tough assignment—an away match in Switzerland—and the 1-4 defeat was hardly a surprise.
Slovenia, meanwhile, played a decisive match against Kosovo…and fell apart. The 0-2 home loss was worsened by Stojanović’s disastrous cameo, earning two yellows shortly after stepping on the pitch.
Sweden vs Slovenia: Key statistics and trends
📉 Sweden have lost four matches in a row
⚽ Sweden average 2.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match
🔁 40% of Sweden’s games feature both teams scoring, with an average total of 3.6 goals
📊 Slovenia have drawn three of their last five matches
⚽ Slovenia average 0.7 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match
🔁 30% of Slovenia’s matches feature both teams scoring, with an average total of 1.6 goals
Sweden vs Slovenia: Possible starting lineups
Sweden (probable XI):
Johansson – Svensson, Hien, Lagerbielke, Holm – Elanga, Ayari, Karlström, Bernhardsson – Svanberg, Nygren
Slovenia (probable XI):
Oblak – Drkusic, Bijol, Brekalo – Janza, Horvat, Elsnik, Gorenc-Stankovic, Karnicnik – Vipotnik, Sporar
Previous meetings: Sweden vs Slovenia
In six head-to-head matches:
Sweden have won two
They have drawn four
The last three meetings ended in draws
Free prediction for Sweden vs Slovenia
Slovenia are struggling, lacking both rhythm and confidence. Sweden, despite their issues, still carry more firepower and should control the match at home.
We expect a Sweden win (odds 1.6).
A straightforward Scandinavian response in front of their fans. 🇸🇪
